Timothy Sykes - Stock Trader, Author, Entrepreneur

Timothy Sykes is a former hedge fund manager, star of the TV show 'Wall Street Warriors' and author of the book, 'An American Hedge Fund'

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Market Manipulation Vs. Real Stocks, Guess Which Offers More Predictable Profits!

Tags: ANALysts, COIN, CVSC, LULU, MXFD, Manipulation, TIM Lessons
11 Mar 10:30pm
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Gotta start the fun off by featuring the chart of the manipulation scheme du jour, CVSC (no need to detail the company; whoever’s promoting it doesn’t care, so neither should you!)

cvsc

Notice how each day now the daily gain is getting larger right alongside the trading volume—methinks a blow out is coming sooner rather than later, in a similar fashion to the blatant manipulation schemes of Christmas’ Past

But, then again, it doesn’t have that far to fall…yet, so hopefully this promoter is as cunning as Roger Clemens–meaning he has the will to cheat for the long run–and concoct a chart like this:

mxfd2

Back in real stock land (boooooooooo!), I def. wanted to short LULU’s $4+ gain at the market open—‘twas only up so much cuz some ANALyst said blah blah blah, squeezing the shorts—hardly any chance at holding a 20% move without dropping a little considering the collapse over the past few days leads many longs to sell into any bounce. Unfortunately, no shares available to short, strange for such a large company, $2 drop before 10am made me cringe, but it coulda woulda shoulda just been a quick scalp as the stock finished stroooooooong.

lulu

Another stock in a nasty multi-day downtrend, COIN, caught shorts off guard at the open, spiking $1+. Not surprisingly, no shares available to short. $1 drop before 10am—same pattern due to dip buyers taking profits, bitter investors in at higher price cutting their losses—all very much predictable, but also not a big move, as the stock came back. Actually looked like a potential buy late in the day as it broke the morning highs, but it failed to breakout more than 5 cents, aka a double top, as there was a wall of sellers at every turn (why I prefer buying only into pure breakouts to new highs)

And in retrospect, I coulda woulda shoulda bought any of these falling knives I posted HERE last night, but even in today’s ideal up market I’d mostly be up 20-40 cents/share on each of them—which due to my pathetic timing skills wouldn’t leave me much room for high probability profits. Good avoidance. I won’t even post their charts cuz I don’t wanna set a bad example for you kids out there.

TIM Lesson: There are both small predictable moves and large ones, focus on large moves—less headache, better risk-reward, bigger gains, more spare time, aka don’t become a scalper like Uncle Timmay! (considering that while I’ve gotten better at focusing on the big gains, I still take infantile gains—gotta get better if TIM has any shot at the big-time)

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About

timothysykes

Timothy Sykes, author of the book, An American Hedge Fund, was born in Orange, Connecticut in 1981. He studied Philosophy and Business at Tulane University while turning his $12,415 Bar Mitzvah Gift money into a fully audited pre-tax sum of $1.65 million from 1999 to 2002 before founding his hedge fund, Cilantro Fund Management, LLC in 2003. He went on to graduate with a B.A. in Philosophy from Tulane in 2003. He is also the benefactor of a Tulane University Scholarship, The Timothy Sykes Day Trading Award for the Talented that is awarded annually to any deserving Tulane student, faculty, or alumni. In 2006, Timothy’s hedge fund was ranked the #1 Short-Bias Fund by Barclays for 2003-2006 and he was named to Trader Monthly’s 2006 ‘Top 30 under 30', a list recognizing the top 30 investment professionals under the age of 30.

After suffering a roughly 35% loss over two years, on October 1, 2007, Timothy closed his hedge fund and created a publishing company, BullShip Press, LLC to promote Freedom of Finance, the concept of a hedge fund manager’s right to discuss their business freely without risk of penalty or censorship. On November 1, 2007, Timothy unveiled TIM, short for Transparent Investment Management, announcing his intention to repeat his original feat of turning $12,415 into $1.65 million. This time around, Timothy would detail the step-by-step process on TimothySykes.com, becoming the first hedge fund manager to detail their strategies for all to see.

He recently debuted as a keynote speaker alongside industry legends Steve Nison and Larry McMillan and starred in the television documentary, Wall Street Warriors on MOJO. He now writes for AOL Finance and has been featured on Reuters, CNN, CNBC, FOX News, FOX Biusiness Network, Businessweek, Marketwatch, MSN Money, Yahoo! Finance, TheStreet.com, Forbes.com, Hedgefund.net, Hedgeco.net, Institutional Investor, Page Six, WallStrip, Gawker, Dealbreaker, Salon.com, The Los Angeles Times, The New York Post, The New York Times, The New York Times Magazine, The New York Observer, Trader Monthly, Dealbook, Alternative Universe and Absolute Return Magazine.